TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team must exceed for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of West Virginia and Cincinnati in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., West Virginia over 13.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe a specific team total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Cincinnati and West Virginia will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the thresholds defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or West Virginia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 17, 2026.