TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia. It tracks the competitive performance of both teams specifically in the last period of play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that designated timeframe.
If West Virginia wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s expectation of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the actual outcome. The current price movements are driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the 4th quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 4th quarter of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia game will determine the settlement of this market. The outcome will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and the contracts they hold. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected performance during the earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a tactical advantage for one team, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Cincinnati vs West Virginia game.