TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines the outcome, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance by either team during that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the second quarter by exceeding the stated point margin—ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 10.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting. It’s important to consider both when evaluating the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Cincinnati vs West Virginia game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or West Virginia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Finally, even significant shifts in public perception, driven by social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.