TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cincinnati vs Philadelphia: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cincinnati vs Philadelphia?

Volume:
$25,602

Cincinnati wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cincinnati wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 4:06 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,093
N/A
N/A
$7,276
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,367
N/A
N/A
$5,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,340
N/A
N/A
$4,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Cincinnati and Philadelphia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different threshold values for how many goals the winning team scores over the opponent. The result is determined based on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Cincinnati winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cincinnati winning by more than 1.5 goals, Philadelphia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Philadelphia winning by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met first according to these thresholds will determine the resolving market outcome. The event specifically uses regular time results only, with no consideration given to extended play or penalty shootouts. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds for the Cincinnati versus Philadelphia spread market, along with a price history chart illustrating how those odds have changed over time. You'll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $4,197, and the total volume traded to date, which is $5,194. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and activity as the game approaches. The dashboard provides a clear view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each team covering the spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the odds in this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, particularly if there’s significant trading activity and public attention. However, differences can persist due to varying levels of information access and analytical approaches.

On Kalshi, the price of contracts in this market is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders continuously adjusting their bids and asks based on their individual assessments of the game’s outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a real-time reflection of market sentiment regarding the spread. A higher price suggests greater confidence in one team covering, while a lower price indicates the opposite. The volume of trading, currently at $4,197, also plays a role, as increased activity can lead to greater price discovery and volatility within this market.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome determined by the official final point spread of the game between Cincinnati and Philadelphia, as reported by a credible source. The platform will verify the result against publicly available game statistics to determine whether Cincinnati covered the spread, Philadelphia covered the spread, or neither team covered. Once this information is confirmed, the market will be settled, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to this matchup could also shift perceptions of team strength. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market is ultimately driven by trading activity. Major announcements related to team dynamics or game-day conditions are likely to cause noticeable shifts in the odds until the market resolves.