TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia MLS match on October 31, 2026, this event determines if both teams score during the match's regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. A goal from either side—including own goals assigned to the scoring team—decides the outcome based on dual offensive success within normal match conditions.
If Cincinnati and Philadelphia both score a goal in the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It's common to see shifts in this market as new information becomes available or as public opinion evolves, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price accurately represents the collective forecast of those trading in it.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Cincinnati and Philadelphia teams score at least one goal during the match. The final result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather conditions that could affect the style of play. Team form, recent performance, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.