TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Cincinnati and Philadelphia. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Cincinnati or Philadelphia markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets specifically exclude outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within the standard match duration.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and widely publicized, serving as a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or the level of expertise among participants in each venue. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which outcome—Cincinnati winning, Philadelphia winning—is most accurately predicted by the collective wisdom of traders. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market is driven by direct trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, might also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could impact the price of contracts in this market.