TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Cincinnati and New England. Participants predict whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total goals scored in the Cincinnati vs New England MLS soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined goals scored by both teams after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets resolve based on the official match result as recorded by the MLS governing body at the conclusion of regular time. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Cincinnati vs New England match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of that particular goal total occurring in the Cincinnati vs New England game.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal total, as officially recorded by event organizers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the total number of goals scored by both the Cincinnati and New England teams combined during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Cincinnati or New England teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports commentators and updated team statistics could shift market sentiment, leading to price adjustments as traders react to new information regarding the Cincinnati vs New England match.