TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Cincinnati and New England will battle for supremacy in a match that could shift the dynamics of their respective playoff hopes. The teams' ability to capitalize on chances and maintain defensive discipline will be crucial in determining the match's outcome.
The market resolves based on the goal differential between Cincinnati and New England in their MLS match scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Cincinnati winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cincinnati winning by more than 1.5 goals, New England winning by more than 1.5 goals, and New England winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome has a specific threshold for goal difference to resolve the market to 'Yes'. The secondary rule clarifies that the platform is not officially connected with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that the implied probability from this market differs from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also vary, providing a range of viewpoints on the likely outcome of the Cincinnati versus New England matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, indicating the market’s expectation of whether the actual spread will be above or below that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process. This creates a real-time forecast of the game's final spread.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by official sports data providers will determine whether contracts predicting an over or under settle at a value of 100. This means traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding the market’s movements and potential future direction.