TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Malik Willis will score one or more touchdowns in the Cincinnati versus Miami professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Malik Willis scoring 1+ touchdowns. Resolution will be determined by whether Chase Brown scores at least one touchdown in the game, as defined by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as that is when this market will resolve based on player performance during the originally scheduled fixture.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores at least one touchdown in the designated game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdown scoring outcome. These rules apply uniformly across all four markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's touchdown contribution under the stated conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks aim to create balanced action, this market provides a purely probabilistic assessment of the potential for touchdowns in the Cincinnati vs Miami game, driven by informed speculation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the number of touchdowns scored. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in these probabilities, offering a dynamic view of the game's potential.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Cincinnati vs Miami game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and the verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. News regarding key player injuries for either the Cincinnati or Miami teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing or rushing attacks, could also shift the market. In-game developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive turnovers, will cause rapid price adjustments. Any significant news or analysis related to the teams' offensive strategies or defensive matchups could also move the market for the Cincinnati vs Miami touchdowns market.