TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of either team exceeding various yardage milestones, providing insight into expected offensive efficiency and game dynamics.
The event evaluates whether Miami or Cincinnati achieves specified total offensive yardage thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular yardage benchmark (e.g., 250+, 300+, up to 450+ yards) for either team. If the designated team meets or exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are accounted for—if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently, allowing for multiple outcomes based on performance relative to each threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – the total yards in the Cincinnati vs Miami game – and can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific yardage total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the potential yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total yardage for the Cincinnati vs Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining which predictions align with the actual game results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cincinnati or Miami teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to team performance, could all impact trading activity and ultimately move the price of contracts in this market.