TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Cincinnati or Miami (ranging from 2 to 6 sacks). If the named team achieves the specified number of sacks or more, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the actual number of sacks matches the contract’s specified value.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of team sacks recorded during the Cincinnati vs Miami game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of sacks will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or Miami offensive lines could significantly shift expectations about sack totals. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, might also affect the game’s dynamics and impact the likelihood of sacks. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive schemes could prompt traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.