TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a specific number of field goals or more during the match. The outcomes depend purely on the game's statistical performance.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by each respective team in the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final confirmed result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) for either Cincinnati or Miami, with resolution contingent upon whether the team meets or exceeds its designated threshold. The governing league’s official records will serve as the definitive source for determining field goal counts and game status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available in traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade contracts, expressing their own predictions. As a result, the prices here can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the true probabilities of events, as they benefit from a broader range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract, effectively representing a forecast for the total field goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the Cincinnati vs Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cincinnati or Miami teams would likely cause significant movement, as this impacts their offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of field goal attempts. Finally, in-game performance during the first half, such as successful or missed field goal attempts, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events.