TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
Cincinnati and Miami will play a football match where a safety, awarding two points to the defense, occurs if a player is tackled in the offensive team's own end zone.
If Cincinnati or Miami record a safety in the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the Cincinnati vs Miami game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Cincinnati vs Miami game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official announcements as the event date approaches to stay informed about potential updates.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or Miami teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact game conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert predictions, can influence trading activity and therefore the price of contracts in this market.