TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Miami. Each threshold represents a distinct level of achievement that, if met by the designated player, triggers a resolution for that particular market. The outcomes are determined by actual game statistics.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a minimum number of rushing yards in the Cincinnati vs Miami professional football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the rushing yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the yardage benchmark.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to sophisticated modeling, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, particularly closer to the event, as traders incorporate a wider range of factors. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time estimate of the expected rushing yards for the Cincinnati versus Miami game. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, contributing to the price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for both the Cincinnati and Miami teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The final result will be based on the officially recorded statistics from the game, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. The resolution process is designed to be straightforward and reliable.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could affect the teams’ ability to run the ball effectively. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or game plans could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or team tendencies could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the new data and reassess the probabilities.