TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether Ollie Gordon II achieves specific yardage milestones in a football game between Cincinnati and Miami. The outcomes depend on the total rushing and receiving yards he accumulates during the contest. Thresholds increase across different markets, offering varied levels of difficulty for achievement.
The markets evaluate whether Ollie Gordon II accumulates specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds—60+, 85+, and 110+—in the Cincinnati vs. Miami Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Gordon II is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once he takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves based on the total yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each resolving to 'Yes' only if the corresponding yardage threshold is met.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but prediction markets directly incorporate the collective beliefs of all participants. While both attempt to forecast the same event, the mechanisms and information sources differ, leading to potential discrepancies. It's common to see this market move independently of traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total combined rushing and receiving yards falling within a specific range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume at a particular price point suggests stronger conviction among traders regarding that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Cincinnati and Miami teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total yards fall within the range represented by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Any discrepancies in reported statistics will be addressed based on the most authoritative and widely accepted data available at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either team – particularly running backs and wide receivers – would be significant. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the passing and running game. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies could also shift expectations. Finally, any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could affect trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.