TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific Cincinnati Bengals players receive rushing attempts in an upcoming game against the Miami Dolphins. The outcomes depend on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of carries during the match.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified Cincinnati Bengals players in the game against Miami originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. For any market, if the relevant player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. All markets are independent, each tied to a specific player and threshold, and all operate under the same snap participation and settlement conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has attracted more informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempts totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely number of rushing attempts in the Cincinnati vs Miami game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts recorded by official game statistics will determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total combined rushing attempts by both the Cincinnati and Miami teams during the game. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running the ball, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching decisions or player matchups could also lead to shifts in the market. Any late-breaking information regarding team health or game plans is likely to be reflected in the price of this market.