TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Miami. They focus on how many times each player records a reception during the match. The payouts vary based on the actual number of receptions each player achieves.
These markets resolve based on the number of receptions recorded by specified Cincinnati and Miami players during the game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.05 per reception, with a maximum payout of $1.00, while each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. The Yes payout is capped at $1.00 and constrained to a maximum of 20 receptions. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning they scale with the number of contracts held. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, Yes contracts pay $0.40 and No contracts pay $0.60. If no receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. The structure ensures that payouts adjust dynamically based on actual performance, with clear limits to manage risk and reward for participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders place buy and sell orders for contracts representing specific outcomes, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people want to buy a contract (believing an outcome is more likely), the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Cincinnati vs Miami game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official stats from the game will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the reception totals will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and official statistics as they become available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, especially to key receivers, would likely cause substantial price movements. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect passing games and reception totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also influence the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could sway trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.