TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. It uses a standardized scoring system to calculate performance metrics for participants, with results determined by actual game outcomes.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or teams during the full duration of the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, including overtime. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various in-game achievements such as yards gained, touchdowns, interceptions, field goals, and defensive plays. Each participant has a defined threshold; if their total points exceed this value, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Players who do not participate or lack a recorded value are treated as scoring zero points. The official Sleeper-published fantasy point totals at expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. All markets operate independently but share the same scoring methodology and game context.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You might find that this market’s odds diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information or interpretations of team performance. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to news and injuries than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the game’s likely outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total fantasy points scored in the Cincinnati vs Miami game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the game’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Cincinnati vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official fantasy point totals awarded by standard fantasy scoring rules. The platform will use publicly available data to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result of this event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about scoring potential. Furthermore, in-game performance, such as a dominant early showing by one team, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market’s odds. Even broader factors, like updated statistical analysis or expert commentary, can impact trader sentiment and drive price movements in this market.