TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event ties financial outcomes to the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, using fantasy points as the metric. Participants can bet on whether a player's performance will meet certain financial thresholds, with payouts scaling directly with the points scored.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Malik Washington during the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Malik Willis during the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes. If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Chase Brown during the Cincinnati vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or simply reflecting a different set of assumptions than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is constantly adjusting to new information and perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final results of the Cincinnati vs Miami game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date to understand how the probabilities are evolving and adjust your positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also cause rapid price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, prompting others to reassess their positions. Keeping abreast of these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.