TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether both Cincinnati and Miami will score a specified number of points or more in their scheduled football game on October 11, 2026. The outcome depends on the combined performance of both teams in terms of offensive output during the match. Each market has a different threshold for the minimum points both teams must achieve for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on whether both Cincinnati and Miami score at least the specified number of points (14, 21, 28, or 35) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the point requirement.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more quickly to incorporate this new data. It's common to see prediction market prices move closer to the eventual outcome than traditional sportsbook odds, though discrepancies can exist due to differing risk appetites and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts (believing both teams will score), the price of 'Yes' increases, and the price of 'No' decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the market's collective probability assessment of whether both Cincinnati and Miami will score during the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, following the completion of the Cincinnati vs Miami game. The outcome will be determined by whether both teams have scored at least one point during the game, verified against credible public reporting of the final score. The resolution will reflect the actual game result, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding 'Yes' contracts will receive a payout if both teams score, while 'No' contract holders will receive a payout if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or Miami would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information regarding team morale or preparation could influence the price as traders react to new data points before Oct 11, 2026.