TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:20h:03m
$
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Cincinnati and Iowa State scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored by both teams and in specific game quarters.
In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Iowa State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cincinnati vs Iowa State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in the participants involved. It’s valuable to consider both when evaluating the potential outcome of the Cincinnati vs. Iowa State game.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity levels, which can influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket currently favors Spread: Iowa State (-3.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Iowa St. wins at 57.0%. Additionally, differing market structures and trading fees can create price discrepancies. These variations are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each platform, offering traders opportunities for arbitrage.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cincinnati vs. Iowa State game, as reported by official sources, will determine the outcome. Traders will be able to see the verified result on the dashboard once it is available. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available information and the established rules of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift expectations. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the Cincinnati vs. Iowa State game has the potential to impact trading volume and market prices.