TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
- Kalshi
Houston wins by over 9.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:18h:38m
$
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcome between two college football teams in an upcoming game. Each market represents a different margin of victory threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Cincinnati vs Houston college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For Houston-based markets, resolution occurs if Houston's victory exceeds specified point margins ranging from 1.5 to 30.5 points. For Cincinnati-based markets, resolution occurs if Cincinnati's victory exceeds margins from 1.5 to 13.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve per the actual result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting equitable assessment of available information and circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can move the price on Kalshi to reflect that view. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates information from a wider range of sources than a single sportsbook.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Cincinnati versus Houston game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The outcome will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. This provides a clear and objective standard for settling the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during upcoming games, or even public statements from key players, could also lead to price movements. A large volume of trades in one direction, driven by new information or a change in perception, will also impact the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.