TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:11 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates whether more than a specified number of goals will be scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Cincinnati and DC United. Outcomes depend on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Cincinnati vs DC United professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If more than the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) is scored, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds offering better value, but it’s not always the case, and discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Cincinnati vs DC United match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations. Traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against the house, which influences price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Cincinnati vs DC United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored, including any own goals or penalty shootouts (if applicable based on the specific rules of the match), will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or DC United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert predictions that gain traction could shift market sentiment, as could significant betting activity on sportsbooks. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of different goal totals can move this market.