TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular game time, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring events within this standard match duration.
If Cincinnati and DC United both score a goal in the Cincinnati vs DC United MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the actions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the event’s potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Cincinnati vs DC United match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cincinnati vs DC United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams scored at least one goal during regulation time (90 minutes plus any added stoppage time). Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be counted towards the resolution of this market. The final scoreline will be the determining factor for whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevails.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or DC United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Additionally, any tactical announcements from the coaches, or updates on team form and recent performance, could shift traders’ expectations and cause the market to move. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal issues could also play a role.