TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether Cincinnati or Columbus wins the match by a margin greater than a specified number of goals, calculated after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential if Cincinnati or Columbus wins the professional MLS soccer game between the two teams on Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. One market requires Cincinnati to win by more than 2.5 goals for a 'Yes' outcome, another requires Cincinnati to win by more than 1.5 goals, while two markets require Columbus to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. All markets are evaluated independently according to these win-margin thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move in that direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the Ohio State football spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting where prices are set in advance.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Cincinnati versus Columbus football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine whether the actual spread falls above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also trigger price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market isn't solely driven by these sources. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential shifts in the market.