TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a match where two teams compete in a soccer game. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular time of the match, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Cincinnati and Columbus both score a goal in the Cincinnati vs Columbus MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'yes' or 'no' outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of both Cincinnati and Columbus scoring. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, revealing the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Cincinnati and Columbus score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine the outcome of this market. Traders holding a 'yes' contract will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding a 'no' contract will receive a payout if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cincinnati or Columbus would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Even pre-game analysis from sports commentators or updated team lineups could trigger price adjustments as traders react to new information and refine their predictions about whether both teams will score.