TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Each market focuses on a different player or team's ability to find the end zone, reflecting individual performance and strategic dynamics.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player or defensive unit records one or more touchdowns during the full game, including overtime. Contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the required touchdowns are scored. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer’s total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle based on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them. All markets utilize the full-game timeframe, including overtime, for touchdown verification.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. However, discrepancies can persist, offering potential value for informed traders who identify mispricings compared to traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored in the Cincinnati versus Baltimore game, as recorded by official league statistics. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their predictions. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand potential factors influencing the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Cincinnati or Baltimore teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the offensive strategies and scoring potential. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team dynamics, coaching decisions, or significant performance trends could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for traders in this market.