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Cincinnati vs Baltimore: Rushing Yards Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Cincinnati vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$1,345

Derrick Henry

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 4:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
11%
11%
Yes 11.3¢No 88.8¢
—
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
$1,185
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chase Brown

View
10%
Yes 9.8¢No 90.3¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 2

Description

This market allows participants to speculate on the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Contracts pay out based on the exact number of rushing yards a designated player accumulates during the game, with payments scaling linearly relative to yardage achieved.

Kalshi

Each market functions as a scalar betting mechanism where Yes contracts pay a fixed rate per rushing yard achieved by the specified player—Derrick Henry or Chase Brown—during the game. The payout for Yes contracts is calculated at $0.0025 per yard, capped at $1.00, which corresponds to a maximum of 400 rushing yards. If the player records zero yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00 and No contracts pay the full $1.00. For any yardage between 1 and 400, Yes payouts increase proportionally while No payouts decrease correspondingly, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts always sums to $1.00. Payouts are proportional to each holder’s position size in the market. The structure allows participants to bet on the exact rushing yardage of each player independently, with clear financial outcomes determined solely by official game statistics.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react slower to new information than this market, where prices adjust rapidly based on real-time trading activity. While sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, the prices in this market represent a more direct assessment of probabilities as determined by traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each rushing yard total being achieved. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the players in the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the conclusion of the game. The final prices on Kalshi will then reflect the actual results, determining which contracts pay out and at what value.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports concerning key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the projected game plan that suggest a shift in rushing focus. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also influence the game and, consequently, the rushing yard totals. Finally, any news regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could move this market as traders reassess the potential for rushing success.