TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Contracts will pay out based on the number of rushing yards each designated player achieves during the game, with increasing payouts tied to higher yardage thresholds. The structure incentivizes participants to assess player performance and its potential impact on the game's outcome.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract’s payout is determined by a tiered schedule corresponding to every 10 rushing yards achieved by the respective player, with payouts increasing progressively up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to calculate the precise payout, ensuring smoother increments between tiers. If a player records negative rushing yards, the Yes payout defaults to $0.00. Each No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts combined equals $1.00. The market resolves to Yes following the game’s conclusion, with Kalshi clarifying that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people are buying a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest in each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final results and the payout for their contracts once the resolution is complete. It’s important to monitor updates as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are a major catalyst; news of an injury to a starting running back could dramatically shift expectations. Weather conditions on game day will also play a role, as inclement weather often leads to a more run-heavy offensive approach. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in the offensive line could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ rushing capabilities could move the market.