TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he reaches various levels of rushing yardage thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the player's actual play during the match.
The event evaluates whether Chase Brown achieves specified rushing yard thresholds (ranging from 25 to 110+ yards) in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore professional football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each threshold defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if Brown meets or exceeds that particular yardage mark. If Brown is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once Brown takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each yardage milestone.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions among bettors and market participants. It's common to see this market incorporate information and adjust more rapidly to news than sportsbook lines, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final rushing yard total and trading accordingly, creating a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Cincinnati versus Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics reported by the NFL. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the market resolution. The market will determine which outcome – a specific range of rushing yards – was achieved during the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Cincinnati and Baltimore teams, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would be significant. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or snow, could impact the game plan and favor a more run-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or changes to the game schedule could cause substantial movement in this market.