TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. It focuses on whether designated players achieve certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on player performance thresholds in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether specified players record particular combinations of rushing and receiving yards. If a player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards they accumulate during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each player's performance threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and more traders participate. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a different outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially closer to the event date, as they incorporate a broader range of perspectives than traditional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people want to buy a contract (believing the yardage total will be higher), the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the probability of the combined rushing and receiving yards falling within a specific range, as determined by the collective actions of all traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the total yardage exceeds or falls below the contract’s specified level. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The official game statistics will serve as the definitive record for determining the resolution.
Several factors could influence the Bengals-Ravens yardage market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team, such as the quarterbacks or running backs, would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also impact the expected yardage totals. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or play-calling tendencies might also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the new information.