TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. It focuses on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the offense.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active for the game but do not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by whether the player meets or exceeds the stated rushing attempt threshold for that specific market. This applies uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation for each participant's performance metrics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. Traders are essentially betting on their forecast of the total rushing attempts, and the market price dynamically updates based on supply and demand for these contracts. The most actively traded contracts will show the highest volume.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempt totals from the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total rushing attempts will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different total will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes in coaching strategy regarding running versus passing plays. Weather conditions, particularly if inclement, could also shift expectations towards a more run-heavy approach. Finally, any news regarding offensive line matchups or defensive strategies designed to stop the run could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.