TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions each specified player records during the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore NFL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase with each reception, up to a maximum, while 'No' contracts adjust inversely to reflect the remaining value.
Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where 'Yes' contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the designated player, capped at $1.00 for up to 20 receptions. The 'No' contracts pay $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, ensuring the total payout per contract remains $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger absolute payouts while maintaining the same percentage distribution. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, 'Yes' contracts pay $0.40 and 'No' contracts pay $0.60; eleven receptions result in 'Yes' paying $0.55 and 'No' paying $0.45; zero receptions result in 'Yes' paying $0.00 and 'No' paying $1.00. This structure applies uniformly across all markets, each focusing on a different player’s performance in the same game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that prices can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The goal is for the contract prices to converge toward the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will reflect the actual number of receptions achieved by each player during the game. No further details regarding the specific data source are available at this time, but the outcome will be determined by publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or quarterbacks on either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial changes in the prices within this market.