TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player. The outcome depends entirely on whether each individual player meets or exceeds their designated reception count during the game.
All markets refer to the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated number of receptions or more in that game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if nullified by penalty — the market settles based solely on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation for each player's reception performance against their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, as more information emerges and trading activity increases, the odds in this market tend to become more accurate predictors of the actual outcome than traditional sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing risk appetites and market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total receptions in the Bengals-Ravens game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the potential reception totals. The market’s price discovery process allows for a collective forecast to emerge.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of receptions made by players from both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data source, will serve as the basis for verification. The final result will be determined by the verified total receptions achieved during the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key receivers on either team are significant catalysts, as are any changes to the expected game plan or weather conditions. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as a last-minute illness or a change in starting quarterbacks, could also lead to substantial price movements. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the likely game outcome could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price.