TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Participants bet on whether specific players will accumulate certain receiving yard totals, with payouts scaling based on actual yardage achieved. The structure allows for nuanced wagering on player productivity in a single contest.
All markets function as scalar outcome contracts tied to receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the specified player, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 400 yards. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, meaning holders receive a share of total Yes or No payouts based on their position size. For example, if a player records 80 receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50. Zero yards result in $0.00 for Yes and $1.00 for No. All markets operate independently, with each player's performance evaluated separately to determine resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they'll bid up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Cincinnati Bengals versus the Baltimore Ravens game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the actual receiving yards gained by the relevant players as recorded by official game statistics. The specific ladder outcome that corresponds to the final yardage total will determine the winning contracts in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the official results are confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing games, could also influence trading activity. Pre-game reports on player matchups and defensive strategies could shift expectations, as could any late-breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely passing volume or individual player performance has the potential to move this market.