TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks receiving performance thresholds for key players in a scheduled football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Specific markets evaluate whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match. Outcomes hinge solely on actual in-game statistics, with predefined conditions for player availability and snap participation.
All markets focus on whether Ja'Marr Chase or Tee Higgins achieve specified receiving yard thresholds in the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market defines a unique yardage benchmark (e.g., 40+, 50+, up to 150+ yards) that must be met or exceeded for resolution as 'Yes'. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total receiving yards they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the yardage threshold being assessed.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply how each venue processes available data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Bengals and Ravens.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular receiving yard total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the expected outcome, based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for the Bengals and Ravens are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of the game. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the total receiving yards achieved by both teams. Traders will then be able to see which contracts settled in their favor, based on the actual game results.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Bengals and Ravens would be significant, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player matchups or coaching decisions could cause the market to shift as traders react to the new information.