TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. It captures the dynamic early-game momentum by tracking the scoring progression of both teams until one hits the specified threshold.
The market resolves based on which team first scores 14 points in the full game, including any overtime periods. If neither team reaches 14 points by the end of the game, the 'Neither Team' outcome wins. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original schedule; if the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of either the Bengals or the Ravens reaching 14 points first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches, and observing these differences can be insightful for both bettors and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. Currently, the market is driven by the trading activity of informed participants, and the price reflects their aggregated forecasts for the Bengals-Ravens game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, the Bengals or the Ravens, reaches 14 points first during the game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics, and the corresponding contracts on Kalshi will be settled accordingly. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to and during the game. News regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also shift expectations. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team reaching 14 points first has the potential to move this market.