TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he achieves various levels of passing yardage thresholds. It allows participants to speculate on the player's potential output in a single contest.
All markets resolve based on whether Joe Burrow achieves specified passing yard thresholds during the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Burrow is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Burrow takes at least one snap—regardless of whether those plays are later nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the actual passing yards he records during the game. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold, ranging from 175 to 400 yards, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if Burrow meets or exceeds that threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of Burrow's performance against each benchmark.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing liquidity and risk appetites. It's common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information is factored in by traders. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the final passing yard total.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard totals from the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for both teams, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the completion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing yard expectations. Pre-game reports on defensive strategies and potential matchups could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.