TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many passing touchdowns Joe Burrow throws in a specific football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of touchdowns, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scoring performance of the quarterback.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns Joe Burrow records in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Burrow must meet or exceed the specified passing touchdown threshold (ranging from 1 to 5 touchdowns). If Joe Burrow is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle to their fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Burrow takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based strictly on the total passing touchdowns he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate news and analysis faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of potential passing touchdown totals.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the game will determine the winning contract. Official game statistics from a trusted sports data provider will be used to verify the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Bengals or Ravens would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected number of passing attempts. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could sway trader sentiment and alter the prices of contracts in this market.