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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,833
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 25, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many passing interceptions Joe Burrow throws during the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of interceptions Burrow might achieve, allowing participants to speculate on the exact level of turnover he may produce in that specific contest.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing interceptions Joe Burrow records in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Burrow records the specified number of interceptions or more, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Burrow is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to their fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Burrow takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the markets settle based strictly on the actual number of passing interceptions he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds (1+, 2+, and 3+), with each market individually evaluating whether Burrow meets its specific interception threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome based on their own analysis. Therefore, you may see differences between the two. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, this market might still show a significant probability for the alternative, especially if there’s uncertainty or a belief that the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of passing interceptions thrown by both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens during the game will be used to determine the result. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies or key player matchups could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could move this market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.