TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
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$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many times Joe Burrow completes passes during a specific football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of completed passes. Markets settle based on official game statistics once the game concludes.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing completions Joe Burrow records in the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Professional Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Joe Burrow is active for the game but never takes a snap, each market settles to its fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Burrow takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based strictly on the total passing completions he records during the game, regardless of the specific threshold being evaluated. All markets are independent, with each resolving to 'Yes' only if Burrow meets or exceeds its respective completion threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets sometimes incorporating information or reacting to news more quickly. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, especially for widely followed events like this one.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes. Traders are essentially betting on the probability of a specific number of passing completions occurring in the game. The price of a contract represents the implied probability of that outcome happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the real-time assessment of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both the Bengals and Ravens during the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official data sources and will represent the total combined passing completions for both teams throughout the duration of the game. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect the passing game, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.