TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event ties to a specific football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore, allowing participants to bet on the performance of individual players in terms of fantasy points scored. The outcome depends on how many points each player accumulates during the game according to a standardized scoring system.
Each market resolves based on the number of Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, using Sleeper's weekly standard PPR fantasy-point totals. For each player market, the Yes payout per contract is calculated as $0.01 multiplied by the player's weekly fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and constrained to a maximum of $1.00 and a minimum of $0.00. The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player scores negative points, the Yes payout is $0.00 and the No payout is $1.00. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point figure for the player for the specified week, the player is deemed to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the size of the holder's position.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if their predicted outcome occurs. The price of a contract represents the market’s probability of that outcome happening. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for different players to perform well in the fantasy ladder.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy point totals for players in the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider. The specific ladder positions and associated payouts will be determined by these final scores. Traders will then be paid out based on whether the contracts they held corresponded to the correct outcome, as determined by the final fantasy rankings.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or Baltimore teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups, weather forecasts, or even coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games could also impact traders' beliefs, leading to adjustments in contract prices. Furthermore, large trades or significant volume from individual participants could create short-term volatility in this market.