TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
For the game between Cincinnati and Baltimore, this event determines if both teams can put points on the board in every quarter of regulation play. It focuses solely on regular-time scoring, with overtime points not factoring into the evaluation of quarter-by-quarter performance.
If Cincinnati and Baltimore both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of numerous traders. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to potential discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both the Bengals and Ravens will score in every quarter. The price of a 'yes' contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens score at least one point in each quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition in all four quarters. The final score will be the determining factor for the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the market, as it might affect scoring opportunities. Additionally, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the price. Finally, early game performance in the first few quarters could also lead to substantial price adjustments.