TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the 4th quarter of an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. It highlights the importance of late-game performance, where momentum and strategy can dramatically shift the outcome of the quarter.
The market determines the winner of the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) in the Cincinnati vs. Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Baltimore scores the most points during the 4th quarter, its market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati scores the most points during that quarter, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the 4th quarter, neither team's market resolves to Yes, and instead the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th quarter—excluding any overtime periods—are counted toward determining the outcome. The markets are independent of the overall game result and focus solely on 4th quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting a collective assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that is leading when the 4th quarter concludes will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Official NFL game results will be used to determine the winning team. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the end of the 4th quarter approaches to understand the potential outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in quarterback performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected in-game events, such as turnovers or penalties, can also lead to rapid price fluctuations. Additionally, large volume trades from individual traders or institutions could temporarily shift the market price, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading in this market.