Will both teams score in the 4th quarter?

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders attempting to accurately forecast the event. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Public polling data also often differs from both.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the collective prediction of the crowd. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens score at any point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a trusted source will be used to determine if both teams have registered points in the final quarter. The final score will be the determining factor for this market, and the result will be reported on Kalshi following the game’s completion.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing or kicking, could also shift the market. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events. Any late-breaking information regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move this market.