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Cincinnati vs Baltimore: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What team will score first touchdown?

Volume:
$192,346

Zay Flowers

 - Kalshi

Zay Flowers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Zay Flowers

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,218
N/A
N/A
$18,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ja'Marr Chase

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,583
N/A
N/A
$35,104
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,963
N/A
N/A
$18,476
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Gesicki

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,273
N/A
N/A
$16,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,217
N/A
N/A
$16,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,076
N/A
N/A
$15,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Tee Higgins

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,431
N/A
N/A
$15,215
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Kobi Lane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,732
N/A
N/A
$12,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Huntley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,053
N/A
N/A
$11,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Cuevas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,747
N/A
N/A
$5,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Mitchell Tinsley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,140
N/A
N/A
$5,140
Settled
No
kalshi

Samaje Perine

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,510
N/A
N/A
$4,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Sample

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,610
N/A
N/A
$3,610
Settled
No
kalshi

Jack Endries

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,640
N/A
N/A
$2,640
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Hibner

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,653
N/A
N/A
$1,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Devontez Walker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,359
N/A
N/A
$1,359
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,316
N/A
N/A
$1,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
$1,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Dohnte Meyers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
$891
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashod Bateman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$951
N/A
N/A
$951
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$372
Settled
No
kalshi

Erick All Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
kalshi

Colbie Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team’s defense will score the first touchdown in an upcoming NFL game. It includes scenarios where either team's defense scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game.

Kalshi

The market determines whether the Cincinnati Bengals defense, the Baltimore Ravens defense, or neither scores the first touchdown in the NFL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either defense scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either team throughout the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. Special provisions address situations where a defensive unit is active but does not take a snap, settling the market at the fair price before the game starts. Once a defensive unit takes a snap, the outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. Touchdowns resulting from offensive plays such as fake punts or field goals do not qualify for these markets.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with sportsbook odds, though differences can still persist due to differing user bases and market dynamics.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each player scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Cincinnati versus Baltimore game.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown of the game, as determined by official game statistics. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling of the game officials. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a clear and definitive result for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either the Cincinnati or Baltimore teams would likely cause shifts in the odds, particularly for players expected to be heavily involved in the red zone. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, potentially favoring running backs over quarterbacks. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could lead to traders re-evaluating their predictions and adjusting their positions in this market.