TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Cincinnati and Baltimore in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both Cincinnati and Baltimore during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, each evaluating a different point total benchmark. The thresholds range progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, offering varied levels of difficulty for achieving the 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own beliefs, leading to adjustments as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move closer to the actual outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more competitive, especially for popular events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their prediction proves correct.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Cincinnati Bengals versus Baltimore Ravens game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points scored will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution process.