TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between Cincinnati and Baltimore. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the game might be in the initial 30 minutes.
These markets determine whether the total points scored by both Cincinnati and Baltimore in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first half of play, with each threshold representing a distinct level of scoring expectation. If the combined score meets or surpasses the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The outcomes are binary, focusing solely on the aggregate first-half performance without regard to which team scores the points. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple resolutions based on the actual scoring outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a common benchmark for comparison. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total scores for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely first half total. This creates a market-driven forecast, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the relevant sports league. The final score, as recorded by the official source, will determine the winning contracts and settle the market. Traders who correctly predicted the first half total will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Ravens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate shifts in informed opinion and drive price changes, reflecting new insights or risk adjustments among traders.