TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the relationship between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. Each market requires a precise combination of results in both halves to settle, making them contingent on both short-term and overall performance.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The markets cover all possible combinations of first half and full game outcomes, including wins for either team and ties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's common to see this market offer insights that diverge from initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a view of expectations for the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official final score of the Cincinnati vs Baltimore game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cincinnati or Baltimore teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.