TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team needs to score for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the Cincinnati vs Arizona college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes for the Cincinnati vs Arizona game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored by each team. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price dynamically adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This allows for a fluid and responsive market for predicting the Cincinnati vs Arizona team totals.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored by each team in the Cincinnati vs Arizona game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team totals will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Cincinnati or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Even public polling data or expert analysis offering strong opinions on the game's potential outcome could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.